Our investment philosophy is based on the belief in long term cycles and Kondratieff theory and that those cycles repeat itself over time.
The long term cycles approach includes financials, investment markets, psychological, political, demographical, technological aspects and natural events (like wars, inventions, climate change, etc … ) to evaluate where we are and where we are going in the cycle. Defined by the four seasons of Spring, Summer, Autumn and Winter, the long term cycles are naturally occurring and repeat itself approximately every 60 - 70 years. Analogous to the human lifecycle, it has been consistent, repeating itself four times since 1789.
While we can’t change the cycle, understanding the long term cycles approach allows us to prepare an investment strategy which coincides with the changing of the economic seasons.
Using his own theories, Kondratieff was able to predict the Great
Depression a few years after writing his thesis called “Long Waves in
Economic Life” in 1926.
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